Author: Melvin Davis

I sometimes wonder why I bother to make any sports picks at all. I mean, there are so many opportunities online for me to make sport picks, doing so is just recreational sports gambling for me. But this weekend I had a fun filled weekend. First, Pittsburgh looked kick a canter headed to the Super Bowl. Then, the Patriots struggled mightily in Denver as pressures built. Thirdly, one of the premier offensive strategists in the game died. And, most distressingly, I had a few bets I shouldn’t have made. But, as a responsible gambler, I’ll bet you didn’t interpret the latter as a bad beat. typed out by a few sport bettors who rolled the dice beyond the midday line, I finished up a bit better than those with whom I either split or matched.

Detroit was about an 8 point favorite over the Patriots. The spread picked up about an hour later in Denver, but by then bettors were realizing the Pats were a work horse. As the final third of the game loomed, the number of touchdown passes to start the game read 17 to one. That final number included an extraordinary comeback by kicker Mike Nugent. Stay with me in 4th and 5th down conversions, as well as third down conversions.

I noticed a lot of late money moving the goal line in the final quarter of the game. At the Poker88 sports book in Asbury Park, take a look at the final score on the game stat page. Notice the line at the beginning of the 4th quarter was 46- all bets to win. Notice the closing line at the end of the 5th quarter was 28- all bets to win. That closing line bettors couldn’t cover, and sure enough, returned money.

Interestingly enough, bettors who bet the early money line and the money line after the return of the starters could have had a better chance of winning money. Those bettors got burned. Take a look at the final score, higher returns for those who bet the early money line, and it’s easy to see why this system works.

Not only do starters make money, but based on the scene in the first half of this game, easy money was also being bet on Denver. Let’s just say that it didn’t work out for everybody.

There are probably several reasons for this, and it’s possible to argue with those who disagree. At the casino sports book in Asbury Park, take a look at the final score on the game stat page. That’s♦♦♦15 over there. If you made money on the Denver money line, you can keep your digits. Likewise, if you lost money on the Indy money line, you can yell at your bookie and try and make up for it with a little bet on the next game. Either way, the bottom line is you made money.

As I mentioned earlier, if you lost money on the Indy money line, you can deduct it from you’re winning stake on the Pittsburgh money line. In this way, you can zero out your losses if you did in fact lose money on the Steelers’ game. The casino sports book will deduct the losses you incurred from your winning bets. Now you have a positive remainder toward your next bet. The casino sports book will add the rest of your winnings to the original money line bet you placed (i.e., you’ll have exactly what you did bet on the Pittsburgh -18 for example) and you will bet that line again. If you win, yep, you’ll get the amount of your winnings in addition to the original money line bet. In this way, if you lost a bet, the casino sports book will pick up the entire amount of your losses to add to the winnings of the next bet.

Also, the house’s commission is lower on winnings. Money line commissions are generally 5%, and most casinos’ commission is 6%. However, if you bet on both the Colts and the Steelers, you’ll receive a refund of your money and a bonus of $90, Cracking The Code Obviously The Colts Win. If you bet the spread and the money line and both teams win, you’ll get a nice profit.

If you bet the Colts to win, you’ll get a refund of your $110 plus a $10 payout on your $110.The Steelers will also win, and they’ll get a $10 payout on your $110.

It is very important to bet the spread in this scenario. If you bet the Colts to win, you’re paid $100 for your $110 bet, regardless of whether the Colts win or lose. If you bet the spread and the money line and both teams win, you win $100 as well, regardless of whether the favorite team wins or loses. It’s as simple as that.

In this article I will try to answer the question, What’s the Secret to Sports Betting Profits? with a simple layman’s explanation.

To start, let’s clarify the problem. The assumption of the question is, What process are making the sportsbooks produce so that they can guarantee a profit every single day, and are they transparent enough to allow us to copy their process?

When dealing with the house, there is always a fair amount of secrets, myths and half-truths that get spread around about certain issues. It’s much easier to deal with the house than it is the bookmakers, and the books are much more worried about their existence than your existence. Still, there are some things that the books can and do hide from you, and understanding those things is the first step to having success with your sports betting.

When dealing with the house, your main concern should be the odds. If the odds are on the bookmaker’s side, then you are usually behind and the lines you see are just symbols in a odds composition (worth less than 100%) or they are just opinion (depo 20 bonus 30).

If you ask me what percentage of the time the bookmaker is behind, I will say that the percentage of the time this event occurs is 50%. In addition, the percentage of the time this bookmaker is behind is fairly consistent and is usually around 52%-58% (of all the times the bookmaker is not favored).

What this boils down to is, when the odds are about even, the bookmaker is almost guaranteed a profit and when the odds are slightly in the books favor, the books super-large bet sizes will result in very little profits.

Additionally, if the event occurs very often, it Antes the books profit potential. This means, they can make a significant profit at predictable odds with little risk.

The secret to sports betting profits is finding arbitrage opportunities and, in the betting world, they can take on average of 8-10 bets per second. This means that, while you wait for them to appear, you can pick and choose in a myriad of ways to wager your money. When I say this, I mean, you should not be anxious to place a bet. You should pick your spots.

Some examples of spots you should NOT bet are:

1. After a heavy game on a Saturday, the teams are injury prone. Do NOT bet the outcome of the game.
2. There is a game in the NBA playoffs where the pregnant girlfriend of one of the players is giving birth. Do not bet this game.

The point is, there are many opportunities to bet at massively positive odds in a variety of spots. The times that you see a heavy favorite, place the bet. The times that you see a heavy dog, bet the underdog. The times that you see a slight favorite, bet the underdog.

By doing this exact same thing across many different games and different sports, you will over time find a spot that the line favors. When you find a spot, you will bet heavy. If you see another big game coming up, you will bet heavy. If you see a dog in a revenge spot, you will bet heavy.

The key to betting is not complicated, but it’s very easy to get complicated and indecisive. If you want to stop losing, just start betting. Stop worrying about your picks and start worrying about the reality of the game. You will become a much better bettor over the long haul and you will become a consistently profitable bettor, and that’s really what you want.